{"id":6179,"date":"2026-01-08T14:04:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T14:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/2026\/01\/08\/expert-forecasts-point-to-affordability-improving-in-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-01-08T14:04:00","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T14:04:00","slug":"expert-forecasts-point-to-affordability-improving-in-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/2026\/01\/08\/expert-forecasts-point-to-affordability-improving-in-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Forecasts Point to Affordability Improving in 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<body>\n<div><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/20260108-Blog-Header-Image-original.png?w=1220&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Expert Forecasts Point to Affordability Improving in 2026 Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear: both; max-width: 100%;\">\n<p>Wondering what to expect from the housing market in 2026? You\u2019re not the only one. For the past few years, affordability has been the biggest barrier standing between most people and their next move. And a lot of buyers and sellers have been holding their breath waiting for things to get better. The good news? It\u2019s finally happening.<\/p>\n<p>In 2025, affordability was the best it\u2019s been in 3 years. And experts agree the momentum will keep going in 2026. And that\u2019s based on their analysis of the key factors shaping the housing market in the year ahead: mortgage rates, inventory, and home prices.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Lower Mortgage Rates Are Already Here\u00a0<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Mortgage rates have already come down from their peak. By some counts, they dropped by almost a full percentage point over the course of the last year. And that\u2019s a big deal, even if it doesn\u2019t sound like it. But how low will they go? And should you wait for them to come down more? Here\u2019s your answer.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fanniemae.com\/media\/56531\/display\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Forecasts<\/a> suggest they\u2019ll stay pretty much where they are now and hover in the <a href=\"https:\/\/img03.en25.com\/Web\/MortgageBankersAssociation\/%7B420a7e33-3b04-4d80-8f42-8c9333766f98%7D_Mortgage_Finance_Forecast_Dec_2025.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">low 6%<\/a> range throughout 2026 (<em>see graph below<\/em>):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/20260108-Mortgage-Rates-Are-Expected-To-Hover-in-the-Low-6s-original.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/20260108-Mortgage-Rates-Are-Expected-To-Hover-in-the-Low-6s-original.png?w=1220&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"a graph with numbers and lines\" style=\"width: 100%; height: auto; display: block;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a>Where they go from here really depends on what happens with the economy, the job market, and any changes in monetary policy the Fed makes in the year ahead. The important thing is, they\u2019re already lower than they were just one year ago and that\u2019s ideal if you\u2019re planning a 2026 move.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>For buyers: <\/strong>A lower rate reduces monthly payments and increases buying power. And, that combo helps more people qualify for homes that previously felt just out of reach.<\/li>\n<li><strong>For sellers:<\/strong> It may be time to accept that rates in the 6s are the new normal. And if you need to move, it\u2019s doable, especially with your equity.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>Even More Options Are on the Way<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>In 2025, the number of homes for sale improved by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/2026-national-housing-forecast\/#report\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">about 15%<\/a>. As inventory rose, buyers regained things they hadn\u2019t had in years: options, time to consider those options, and negotiating leverage. That helped restore more balance to the housing market.<\/p>\n<p>Not to mention, the inventory gains are a big piece of what\u2019s helped price growth slow down \u2013 which in turn improves affordability.<\/p>\n<p>While the inventory gains this year aren\u2019t expected to be as steep, experts at <em>Realtor.com<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/2026-national-housing-forecast\/#report\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">say<\/a> <strong>the supply of homes for sale should grow by another 8.9% this year.<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>For buyers: <\/strong>That means even more choice and more negotiating power.<\/li>\n<li><strong>For sellers:<\/strong> Pricing your house right will be essential to draw in buyers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>Home Price Growth Is Slowing to a More Sustainable Pace<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>With more homes for sale, there isn\u2019t as much upward pressure on prices right now. And we\u2019ve seen that shake out over the past year. Even so, the overwhelming majority of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nar.realtor\/magazine\/real-estate-news\/economy\/housing-market-set-for-a-2026-comeback-nar-predicts\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">experts<\/a> say, nationally, prices will continue rising in the year ahead \u2013 just at a slower pace. On average, they say <strong>prices will rise by 1.6% in 2026<\/strong> (<em>see graph below<\/em>):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/20260108-Expect-Moderate-Home-Price-Growth-in-2026-original.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/20260108-Expect-Moderate-Home-Price-Growth-in-2026-original.png?w=1220&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"a graph of increasing prices\" style=\"width: 100%; height: auto; display: block;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a>And that\u2019s reassuring if you\u2019ve been fed content on social media saying prices are going to come crashing down. But here\u2019s what you need to remember most about this. It\u2019s going to vary a lot by area.<\/p>\n<p>So, lean on a local agent for the latest on what\u2019s happening where you are. Some markets will see prices rise more than this. Others may see prices come down slightly. It really all depends on conditions in your local market<\/p>\n<p>But overall, prices will continue to rise at the national level. And that\u2019s good for the market as a whole. As <em>Realtor.com<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/2026-national-housing-forecast\/#report\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">explains<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201c<\/em><strong><em>For homebuyers and sellers, the shift signals a more balanced market<\/em><\/strong><em>\u2014one where price growth steadies, rate relief offers breathing room, and negotiating power tilts subtly toward buyers.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>For buyers:<\/strong> Expect more moderate price growth, not the sudden and intense spikes just a few short years ago. That gives you fewer surprises and more predictability, which makes budgeting a whole lot easier.<\/li>\n<li><strong>For sellers:<\/strong> This slower price growth restores balance without putting your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2025\/12\/22\/headlines-have-you-worried-about-your-homes-value-read-this\/?a=783612-02a11606fc81d6a6e402d49bc5bfe20b\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">equity<\/a> at risk. And that\u2019s a win.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>More Homes Will Sell\u00a0<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>All of this adds up to a better affordability equation in 2026. And that\u2019s exactly why experts are saying we should see more homes sell (and more people buy) this year.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/20260108-More-Home-Will-Sell-in-2026-Than-the-Last-2-Years-original.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/20260108-More-Home-Will-Sell-in-2026-Than-the-Last-2-Years-original.png?w=1220&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"a graph of a graph showing the sales of a company\" style=\"width: 100%; height: auto; display: block;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a>As Mischa Fisher, Chief Economist at <em>Zillow<\/em>, says:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201cBuyers are benefiting from more inventory and improved affordability, while sellers are seeing price stability and more consistent demand. <\/em><strong><em>Each group should have a bit more breathing room in 2026<\/em><\/strong><em>.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The bottom line is, more people are finally going to be able to make their move this year. So, the question is: will you be one of them? The market is giving you an opportunity you haven\u2019t had in a while. Maybe it\u2019s time to take advantage of it.<\/p>\n<h3>Bottom Line<\/h3>\n<p>Affordability won\u2019t change suddenly overnight. But, with several key trends working together, it should slowly and steadily improve in the months ahead.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s exactly why, in 2026, you should see a market with more balance, more predictability, and more breathing room than you\u2019ve had in years.<\/p>\n<p>Want more information about the opportunities unlocking in your local market? Connect with a real estate agent today.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/body>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wondering what to expect from the housing market in 2026? You\u2019re not the only one. For the past few years, affordability has been the biggest barrier standing between most people and their next move. And a lot of buyers and sellers have been holding their breath waiting for things to get better. The good news? 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