{"id":6023,"date":"2025-10-08T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-08T10:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/2025\/10\/08\/why-home-prices-arent-actually-flat\/"},"modified":"2025-10-08T10:30:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-08T10:30:00","slug":"why-home-prices-arent-actually-flat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/2025\/10\/08\/why-home-prices-arent-actually-flat\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Home Prices Aren\u2019t Actually Flat"},"content":{"rendered":"<body>\n<div><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20251008-Blog-Header-Image-original.jpg?w=1220&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Why Home Prices Aren\u2019t Actually Flat Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear: both; max-width: 100%;\">\n<p>If you\u2019ve been following real estate news lately, you\u2019ve probably seen headlines saying home prices are flat. And at first glance, that sounds simple enough. But here\u2019s the thing. The reality isn\u2019t quite that straightforward.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In most places, prices aren\u2019t flat at all.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong>What the Data Really Shows<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>While we\u2019ve definitely seen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2025\/10\/01\/what-buyers-say-they-need-most-and-how-the-markets-responding\/?a=783612-02a11606fc81d6a6e402d49bc5bfe20b\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">prices moderate<\/a> from the rapid and unsustainable climb in 2020-2022, how much they\u2019ve changed is going to be different everywhere.<\/p>\n<p>If you look at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.resiclubanalytics.com\/p\/monthly-home-price-analysis-800-metros-3000-counties-25000-zips-september-2025-housing-market\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">data<\/a> from <em>ResiClub <\/em>and <em>Zillow <\/em>for the 50 largest metros, this becomes very clear. The real story is split right down the middle. Half of the metros are still seeing prices inch higher. The other half? Prices are coming down slightly (<em>see graph below<\/em>).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20251008-Home-Prices-Are-Up-in-Half-of-Metros-original.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20251008-Home-Prices-Are-Up-in-Half-of-Metros-original.png?w=1220&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"a graph of prices on a dark background\" style=\"width: 100%; height: auto; display: block;\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a>The big takeaway here is \u201cflat\u201d doesn\u2019t mean prices are holding steady everywhere. <strong>What the numbers actually show is how much price trends are going to vary depending on where you are. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>One factor that\u2019s driving the divide? Inventory. The <em>Joint Center for Housing Studies (JCHS) of Harvard University <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jchs.harvard.edu\/blog\/home-prices-decline-growing-number-markets-inventories-climb\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">explains<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201c . . . price trends are beginning to diverge in markets across the country. <\/em><strong><em>Prices are declining in a growing number of markets where inventories have soared while they continue to climb in markets where for-sale inventories remain tight<\/em><\/strong><em>.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>When you average those very different trends together, you get a number that looks like it\u2019s flat.\u00a0<\/strong>But it doesn\u2019t give you the real story and it\u2019s not what most markets are feeling today. You deserve more than that.<\/p>\n<p>And<strong> <\/strong>just in case you\u2019re really focusing on the declines, remember those are primarily places where prices rose too much, too fast just a few years ago. Prices went up roughly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fhfa.gov\/data\/hpi\/datasets?tab=regional-hpi\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">50%<\/a> nationally over the past 5 years, and even more than that in some of the markets that are experiencing a bigger correction today. So, a modest drop in some local pockets still puts most of those homeowners ahead when it comes to the overall value of their home. And based on the fundamentals of today\u2019s housing market, experts are not projecting a national decline going forward.<\/p>\n<p>So, what\u2019s actually important for you to know?<\/p>\n<h4><strong>If You\u2019re Buying\u2026<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>You need to know what\u2019s happening in your area because that\u2019s going to influence everything from how quickly you need to make an offer to how much negotiating power you\u2019ll have once you do.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>In a market where prices are still inching up<\/strong>, waiting around could mean paying more down the line.<\/li>\n<li><strong>In a market where they\u2019re easing<\/strong>, you may be able to ask for things like repairs or closing cost help to sweeten the deal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The bottom line? <strong>Knowing your local trend puts you in the driver\u2019s seat.<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4><strong>If You\u2019re Selling\u2026<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>You\u2019ll want to be aware of local trends, so you\u2019ll know how to price your house and how much you can expect to negotiate.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>In a market where prices are still rising<\/strong>, you may not need to make many compromises to get your home sold.<\/li>\n<li><strong>But if you\u2019re in a market where prices are coming down<\/strong>, setting the right price from the start and being willing to negotiate becomes much more important.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The big action item for homeowners? Sellers need to have an agent\u2019s local perspective if they want to avoid making the wrong call on pricing \u2013 and homes that are priced right are definitely selling.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>The Real Story Is Local<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The national averages can point to broad trends, and that\u2019s helpful context. But sometimes you\u2019re going to need a local point of view because what\u2019s happening in your zip code could look different. As Anthony Smith, Senior Economist<em> at Realtor.com<\/em>,<em> <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.inman.com\/2025\/09\/30\/price-growth-continues-to-slow-but-economists-say-that-may-be-good-news-for-the-market\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">article<\/a> puts it:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201cWhile national prices continued to climb, local market conditions have become increasingly fragmented\u2026<\/em><strong><em>This regional divide is expected to continue influencing price dynamics and sales activity as the fall season gets underway.<\/em><\/strong><em>\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>That\u2019s why the smartest move, whether you\u2019re buying or selling, is to lean on a local agent who\u2019s an expert on your market. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ll have the data and the experience to tell you whether prices in your area are holding steady, moving up, or softening a bit \u2013 and how that could impact your move.<\/p>\n<h3>Bottom Line<\/h3>\n<p>Headlines calling home prices flat may be grabbing attention, but they\u2019re not giving you the full picture.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Has anyone taken the time to walk you through what\u2019s happening in your market? <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you want the real story about what prices are doing in your area, connect with a local agent.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/body>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you\u2019ve been following real estate news lately, you\u2019ve probably seen headlines saying home prices are flat. And at first glance, that sounds simple enough. But here\u2019s the thing. The reality isn\u2019t quite that straightforward. In most places, prices aren\u2019t flat at all. What the Data Really Shows While we\u2019ve definitely seen prices moderate from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6024,"comment_status":"registered_only","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[12],"tags":[29,27,20,18,28],"class_list":["post-6023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate-insight","tag-idaho-real-estate","tag-north-idaho-homes","tag-rain-silverhawk","tag-real-estate","tag-sandpoint-idaho"],"aioseo_notices":[],"acf":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/20251008-Blog-Header-Image-original.jpg?fit=750%2C410&ssl=1","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pdz2Zu-1z9","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6023","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6023"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6023\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6024"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6023"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6023"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sandpointrealtyidaho.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6023"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}